Book Reading Recorder
Think, Fast and Slow
Introduction
1=Ⅰ 2=Ⅱ 3=Ⅲ 4=Ⅳ 5=Ⅴ 6=Ⅵ 7=Ⅶ 8=Ⅷ 9=Ⅸ 10=Ⅹ 11=Ⅺ 12=Ⅻ
Part Ⅰ. Two Systems
1. The Characters of the Story
2. Attention and Effort
3. The Lazy Controller
4. The Associative Machine
5. Congnitive Ease
6. Norms, Surprises, and Causes
7. A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
8. How Judgments Happen
9. Answering an Easier Question
Part Ⅱ. Heuristics and Biases
10. The Law of Small Numbers
11. Anchors
12. The Science of Availability
13. Availability, Emotion, and Risk
14. Tow W’s Specialty
15. Linda: Less is More
16. Causes Trump Statistics
17. Regreesion to the Mean
18. Taming Intuitive Predictions (1/31)
Part Ⅲ. Heuristics and Biases
19. The Illusion of Understanding (2/1)
20. The Illusion of Validity (2/2)
21. Intuitions Vs. Formulas (2/6)
实践检验：专家不如“公式化”意见，尤其是在对人的“未来”事件进行预测时。当下的评估会受到halo effect、system 1的各种偏见影响，甚至是在没有意识到的场景下。